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Rabu, 19 September 2007
Analisis Pertumbuhan Ekspor Indonesia Sebelum dan Setelah Krisis Moneter

Abstract

 

The objective of this research is to investigate the growth of Indonesian export  before the economic crisis (1990-1997) and after the economic crisis (1999-2006). Indonesian economy has a good performance before economic crisis (as a Asia Tiger). Since 1999, the government of Indonesia has tried to recover Indonesian economy. Based on the argument, two hypotheses are developed. The first, Indonesian export increased significantly before the economic crisis. Second Indonesian export increased significantly after the economic crisis.
     In this research, the log-lin regression model (growth model) was used to determine the rate of export growth. The result of statistical testing indicates that Indonesian export increase significantly at lavel 10,9% average per year before the economic crisis. So, Indonesian export increase significantly at level 8,9% average per year after the  economic crisis.

 

 

Keyword: export growth, Indonesian export, economic crisis, log-lin regression model.

 
 
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